Als Omonia vs Anorthosis Famagusta
Match details. 1st Division. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Als Omonia have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W. Anorthosis Famagusta have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Als Omonia score 2.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Als Omonia average 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Anorthosis Famagusta score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Anorthosis Famagusta average 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 23% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Als Omonia are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Als Omonia the likelier winners; Als Omonia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Als Omonia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26, 78% on the records (Als Omonia: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5; Anorthosis Famagusta: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Anorthosis Famagusta Over 0.5 goals (Anorthosis Famagusta's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Anorthosis Famagusta Under 1.5 goals (Als Omonia's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Als Omonia 2-1 Anorthosis Famagusta (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).