YCYOR

15:00Sat 24 Oct

POR

York City FC vs Port Vale

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at York`s LNER Community Stadium.

What's at stake. York City FC are 6th on 17 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Cheltenham, level on points with Gillingham. A win would take them above Cheltenham. Port Vale are 20th on 12 points after 10 games, level on points with Colchester, 1 point clear of Oldham. A win would take them above Colchester.

Form. York City FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W D. Port Vale have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D.

The numbers. York City FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. York City FC average 16.4 shots (4.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 62% of the ball. Port Vale score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Port Vale average 10.6 shots (3.4 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings York City FC have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 16 Mar 2013, it finished York City FC 0-2 Port Vale.

The case against. Port Vale's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. York City FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make York City FC the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (York City FC are a clear winner, no Unders); York City FC Over 0.5 goals (Port Vale's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); York City FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (York City FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: York City FC 1-0 Port Vale (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

York City FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

YOR 7 of 8 (88%) · POR 8 of 8 (100%)95.3%

York City FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Port Vale: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · York City FC: only games against sides at Port Vale's level · Port Vale: only games against sides at York City FC's level

York City FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.20

YOR 4 of 5 (80%) · POR 7 of 8 (88%)76.7%

York City FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Port Vale trailed or failed to win in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · York City FC: only games against sides at Port Vale's level · Port Vale: only games against sides at York City FC's level

PORT VALE GOALS

Port Vale Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.38

YOR 8 of 8 (100%) · POR 6 of 8 (75%)80%

Port Vale scored under 1.5 in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · York City FC conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Port Vale: only games against sides at York City FC's level · York City FC: only games against sides at Port Vale's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (York City FC are a clear winner - no Unders); York City FC Over 0.5 goals (Port Vale's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); York City FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (York City FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (York City FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (York City FC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.4%

York City FC goals →

Port Vale goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

YORK CITY FCDDDWDLLWDL1.10 PPG

PORT VALEDWWWDLWLLD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

YORK CITY FC HOMExPORT VALE AWAY

1.73SCORED A GAME0.601.18CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS50%9%FAILED TO SCORE40%6.00CORNERS A GAME4.501.75CARDS A GAME1.752.11xG1.341.71xG AGAINST1.19

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.27POINTS A GAME1.20+0.36GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.81.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.011LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

17%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

YORK CITY FC OR DRAW

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

PORT VALE OR DRAW

33%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

YORK CITY FCxPORT VALE

6GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME0.400.83CONCEDED A GAME1.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.283%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%50%BOTH SCORE40%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

YORK CITY FC 0 · 0%DRAW 1PORT VALE 1 · 50%

2012-11-17York City FC 2 – 2 Port Vale

2013-03-16York City FC 0 – 2 Port Vale

TRENDS

York City FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Port Vale have scored in 70% of their games.

York City FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Port Vale kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards