Rotherham United vs Shrewsbury Town
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at New York Stadium, Rotherham.
What's at stake. Rotherham United are 22nd on 11 points after 12 games, level on points with Oldham, 1 point clear of Northampton. A win would take them above Oldham. Shrewsbury Town are 8th on 17 points after 12 games, level on points with Gillingham, 1 point clear of Chesterfield. A win would take them above Gillingham.
Form. Rotherham United have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Shrewsbury Town have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. Rotherham United score 1.4 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Rotherham United average 11.0 shots (3.8 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Shrewsbury Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Shrewsbury Town average 13.6 shots (4.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 4.0 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Rotherham United have won three, drawn three and lost three. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Shrewsbury Town won two. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2025, it finished Rotherham United 1-2 Shrewsbury Town: Rotherham United had 8 shots to 4, 69% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Rotherham United the likelier winners, but Shrewsbury Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Shrewsbury Town; the meetings favour Shrewsbury Town. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 74% on the records (Rotherham United: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8; Shrewsbury Town: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Shrewsbury Town or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Rotherham United 1-1 Shrewsbury Town (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).