Rochdale AFC vs Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 5 of 6 · Accrington Stanley: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Accrington Stanley's level
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Spotland, Rochdale.
What's at stake. Rochdale AFC are 14th on 15 points after 12 games, level on points with Tranmere, level on points with Swindon Town. A win would take them above Tranmere. Accrington Stanley are 11th on 15 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Exeter City, level on points with Newport County. A win would take them above Exeter City.
Form. Rochdale AFC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. Accrington Stanley have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W.
The numbers. Rochdale AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Rochdale AFC average 11.2 shots (3.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Accrington Stanley score 1.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Accrington Stanley average 13.1 shots (4.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Rochdale AFC have won seven, drawn none and lost two. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Rochdale AFC won three and Accrington Stanley won one. The last time they met, on 17 Apr 2021, it finished Rochdale AFC 3-1 Accrington Stanley: Rochdale AFC had 20 shots to 11, 55% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Accrington Stanley are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Rochdale AFC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Accrington Stanley's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The read. Rochdale AFC to win. An open game. Accrington Stanley are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Rochdale AFC. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.34, 75% on the records (Rochdale AFC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8; Accrington Stanley: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Rochdale AFC or Both Teams Score at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Rochdale AFC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (Rochdale AFC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Rochdale AFC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Rochdale AFC 2-1 Accrington Stanley (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).