Gillingham FC vs Grimsby Town
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham.
What's at stake. Gillingham FC are 7th on 17 points after 12 games, level on points with York, level on points with Shrewsbury. A win would take them above York. Grimsby Town are 17th on 14 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Bristol Rovers, level on points with Fleetwood Town. A win would take them above Bristol Rovers.
Form. Gillingham FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. Grimsby Town have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L.
The numbers. Gillingham FC score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Gillingham FC average 9.0 shots (3.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Grimsby Town score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Grimsby Town average 15.1 shots (4.8 on target), 6.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Gillingham FC have won one, drawn three and lost four. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Grimsby Town won three. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Gillingham FC 1-4 Grimsby Town: Gillingham FC had 9 shots to 14, 49% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Gillingham FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Grimsby Town.
The case against. Grimsby Town's record still gives them 35% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Gillingham FC to win. A tight game. Gillingham FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Grimsby Town. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (Gillingham FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Grimsby Town Under 1.5 goals (Grimsby Town's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Gillingham FC 1-0 Grimsby Town (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).