Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Whaddon Road, Cheltenham, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Cheltenham Town are 5th on 18 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Walsall, 1 point clear of York. A win would take them above Walsall. Newport County are 12th on 15 points after 12 games, level on points with Accrington ST, level on points with Tranmere. A win would take them above Accrington ST.
Form. Cheltenham Town have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. Newport County have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D.
The numbers. Cheltenham Town score 1.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cheltenham Town average 8.2 shots (2.8 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Newport County score 1.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Newport County average 12.2 shots (3.5 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Cheltenham Town have won six, drawn one and lost two. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Cheltenham Town won four. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Cheltenham Town 1-0 Newport County: Cheltenham Town had 8 shots to 17, 56% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 79% on the records (Cheltenham Town: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 8; Newport County: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Cheltenham Town or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Newport County (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).