BRBRI

12:30Sat 24 Oct

SWI

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Memorial Stadium, Bristol.

What's at stake. Bristol Rovers are 16th on 15 points after 12 games, level on points with Swindon Town, 1 point clear of Grimsby. A win would take them above Swindon Town. Swindon Town are 15th on 15 points after 12 games, level on points with Rochdale, level on points with Bristol Rovers. A win would take them above Rochdale.

Form. Bristol Rovers have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Swindon Town have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L D.

The numbers. Bristol Rovers score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Bristol Rovers average 12.0 shots (3.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Swindon Town score 0.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Swindon Town average 11.9 shots (3.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Bristol Rovers have won two, drawn two and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Bristol Rovers won one, one was drawn and Swindon Town won two. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished Bristol Rovers 1-1 Swindon Town: Bristol Rovers had 10 shots to 16, 46% of the ball, five yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Swindon Town Over 0.5 goals (Swindon Town's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Swindon Town win or both teams score (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Swindon Town (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

BRI 5 of 5 (100%) · SWI 8 of 8 (100%)91.4%

Bristol Rovers: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Swindon Town: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bristol Rovers: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Bristol Rovers's level

BRISTOL ROVERS GOALS

Bristol Rovers Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.10

BRI 5 of 5 (100%) · SWI 8 of 8 (100%)72.7%

Bristol Rovers scored in 5 of 5 at home · Swindon Town conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · Bristol Rovers: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Bristol Rovers's level

Left off the list: Swindon Town Over 0.5 goals (Swindon Town's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Swindon Town win or both teams score (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Bristol Rovers goals →

Swindon Town goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BRISTOL ROVERSLLLLLWLLWW0.90 PPG

SWINDON TOWNWDLLDLLLLW0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BRISTOL ROVERS HOMExSWINDON TOWN AWAY

1.33SCORED A GAME1.081.67CONCEDED A GAME1.3330%CLEAN SHEETS0%25%FAILED TO SCORE50%6.00CORNERS A GAME3.833.00CARDS A GAME2.121.27xG1.521.60xG AGAINST2.46

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.25POINTS A GAME1.25-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25+2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.20.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.012LEAGUE GAMES12

Bristol Rovers: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

BRISTOL ROVERS OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

SWINDON TOWN OR DRAW

30%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BRISTOL ROVERSxSWINDON TOWN

6GAMES61.83SCORED A GAME0.501.33CONCEDED A GAME1.673.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.267%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%50%BOTH SCORE17%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.29.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES14.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

BRISTOL ROVERS 2 · 20%DRAW 2SWINDON TOWN 6 · 60%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2017-11-08Bristol Rovers 2 – 4 Swindon Town

2019-11-13Bristol Rovers 1 – 0 Swindon Town

2020-11-21Bristol Rovers 0 – 1 Swindon Town

2021-03-23Bristol Rovers 0 – 1 Swindon Town

2021-10-02Bristol Rovers 1 – 3 Swindon Town

2022-01-22Bristol Rovers 1 – 1 Swindon Town

2022-10-18Bristol Rovers 3 – 0 Swindon Town

2024-10-08Bristol Rovers 0 – 4 Swindon Town

TRENDS

Bristol Rovers have scored in 70% of their games.

Swindon Town have scored in 50% of their games.

Bristol Rovers kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Swindon Town kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards