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CROATIA - HNL
HNK Gorica crestHGHNK
14:00Sat 24 Oct
NKLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb crestNL

HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
73
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
HNK Gorica crestHGvNK Lokomotiva Zagreb crestNL
Over 1.5 Goals
HNK Gorica v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatia - HNL · 14:00
1.30odds
77%book
-4edge
3/3angles
THE READ

Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Radnik, Veliky Gorica.

What's at stake. HNK Gorica are 10th on 6 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Rudes. A win would take them above Rudes. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 7th on 10 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Istra 1961, level on points with NK Slaven Belupo. A win would take them above Istra 1961.

Form. HNK Gorica have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W.

The numbers. HNK Gorica score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. HNK Gorica average 9.4 shots (2.9 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score one and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb average 10.6 shots (3.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings HNK Gorica have won two, drawn one and lost six. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, HNK Gorica won one and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won three. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished HNK Gorica 1-3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: HNK Gorica had 15 shots to 10, 54% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour HNK Gorica; the meetings favour NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.30, 73% on the records (HNK Gorica: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: HNK Gorica 2-1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HNK 8 of 9 (89%) · NKL 5 of 5 (100%)93.6%
HNK Gorica: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · HNK Gorica: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at HNK Gorica's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.30
HNK 6 of 9 (67%) · NKL 4 of 5 (80%)73.4%
HNK Gorica: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 6 of 6 · HNK Gorica: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at HNK Gorica's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
HNK 5 of 9 (56%) · NKL 3 of 5 (60%)51.9%
HNK Gorica: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 56% · H2H 3 of 6 · HNK Gorica: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at HNK Gorica's level
HNK GORICA GOALS
HNK Gorica Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.24
HNK 6 of 9 (67%) · NKL 5 of 5 (100%)72.8%
HNK Gorica scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 6 · HNK Gorica: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at HNK Gorica's level
NK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREB GOALS
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.31
HNK 3 of 5 (60%) · NKL 7 of 9 (78%)66.4%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb scored in 3 of 5 away · HNK Gorica conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 6 of 6 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at HNK Gorica's level · HNK Gorica: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.24
HNK 6 of 9 (67%) · NKL 5 of 5 (100%)86.1%
HNK Gorica: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · HNK Gorica: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at HNK Gorica's level
Left off the list: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win or both teams score (no result call); HNK Gorica Under 1.5 goals (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.1%
HNK Gorica goals →
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
HNK GORICADLWDDLDLLL0.70 PPG
NK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREBWLLDWLLLLW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HNK GORICA HOMExNK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREB AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.301.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7020%CLEAN SHEETS20%40%FAILED TO SCORE30%3.50CORNERS A GAME4.501.38CARDS A GAME3.380.81xG1.091.34xG AGAINST1.61
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.67POINTS A GAME1.00-0.78GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40-6.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.51.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
35%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
HNK GORICA OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
NK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREB OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HNK GORICAxNK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREB
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.402.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.09.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
HNK GORICA 2 · 22%DRAW 1NK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREB 6 · 67%
5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-10-05HNK Gorica 0 – 2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2024-12-21HNK Gorica 1 – 4 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2025-03-28HNK Gorica 1 – 1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2025-05-24HNK Gorica 0 – 3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2025-08-16HNK Gorica 3 – 1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2025-11-03HNK Gorica 4 – 1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2026-02-06HNK Gorica 0 – 3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2026-04-17HNK Gorica 0 – 2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
TRENDS
HNK Gorica have scored in 70% of their games.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have scored in 70% of their games.
HNK Gorica kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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