Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Radnik, Veliky Gorica.
What's at stake. HNK Gorica are 10th on 6 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Rudes. A win would take them above Rudes. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 7th on 10 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Istra 1961, level on points with NK Slaven Belupo. A win would take them above Istra 1961.
Form. HNK Gorica have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W.
The numbers. HNK Gorica score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. HNK Gorica average 9.4 shots (2.9 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score one and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb average 10.6 shots (3.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings HNK Gorica have won two, drawn one and lost six. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, HNK Gorica won one and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won three. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished HNK Gorica 1-3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: HNK Gorica had 15 shots to 10, 54% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour HNK Gorica; the meetings favour NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.30, 73% on the records (HNK Gorica: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: HNK Gorica 2-1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).