Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. The referee is Jannick van der Laan.
What's at stake. ADO Den Haag are 16th on 6 points after 9 games, 2 points behind PEC Zwolle, level on points with Telstar. A win would take them above PEC Zwolle. SC Heerenveen are 9th on 12 points after 9 games, 2 points behind GO Ahead Eagles, level on points with Utrecht. A win would take them above GO Ahead Eagles.
Team news. ADO Den Haag are without L. Reischl (groin injury), D. Barany (thigh injury), L. Reischl (groin injury), D. Barany (thigh injury). SC Heerenveen are without D. Proper (hamstring injury), D. Proper (hamstring injury).
Form. ADO Den Haag have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. SC Heerenveen have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.
The numbers. ADO Den Haag score 1.4 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. ADO Den Haag average 9.5 shots (3.9 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. SC Heerenveen score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. SC Heerenveen average 12.3 shots (5.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings ADO Den Haag have won none, drawn four and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, three were drawn and SC Heerenveen won one. The last time they met, on 6 Mar 2021, it finished ADO Den Haag 0-3 SC Heerenveen: ADO Den Haag had 12 shots to 18, 48% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. SC Heerenveen to win. An open game. SC Heerenveen are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour SC Heerenveen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 76% on the records (ADO Den Haag: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9; SC Heerenveen: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: SC Heerenveen win or both teams score at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); ADO Den Haag Under 1.5 goals (SC Heerenveen's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: ADO Den Haag 1-2 SC Heerenveen (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).