Al-Shamal vs Qatar SC
Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Al-Shamal SC Stadium, Gray Shamal.
What's at stake. Al-Shamal are 5th on 9 points after 6 games, 3 points behind Al-Duhail SC, 1 point clear of Al Wakrah. A win would take them level on points with Al-Duhail SC. Qatar SC are 11th on 3 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Al-Gharafa, 2 points clear of Al-Sailiya. A win would take them above Al-Gharafa.
Form. Al-Shamal have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W W. Qatar SC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. Al-Shamal score two and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Al-Shamal average 9.5 shots (4.4 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Qatar SC score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Qatar SC average 8.2 shots (2.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al-Shamal have won three, drawn one and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Al-Shamal won one, one was drawn and Qatar SC won two. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2026, it finished Al-Shamal 0-2 Qatar SC: Al-Shamal had 25 shots to 7, 68% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Al-Shamal the likelier winners, but Al-Shamal are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Qatar SC.
The case against. Qatar SC's record still gives them 24% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Al-Shamal or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al-Shamal the likelier winners; Al-Shamal are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Qatar SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al-Shamal 2-1 Qatar SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).