Match details. Carioca, Serie B2, Group Stage - 9. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Campos AA RJ have won three, drawn three and lost two of their last eight, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. Cardoso Moreira RJ have won five, drawn one and lost two of their last eight, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W.
The numbers. Campos AA RJ score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet. Campos AA RJ average 14.8 shots (3.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. Cardoso Moreira RJ score 1.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cardoso Moreira RJ average 11.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The case against. Campos AA RJ's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Cardoso Moreira RJ to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cardoso Moreira RJ the likelier winners; Cardoso Moreira RJ are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cardoso Moreira RJ or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Campos AA RJ Under 1.5 goals (Campos AA RJ's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Campos AA RJ 1-2 Cardoso Moreira RJ (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).