SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 1

CLCDL

17:00Sun 18 Oct

PON

CD Lalin vs Pontevedra CF B

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 1. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. CD Lalin have won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W D L W. Pontevedra CF B have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W D L.

The numbers. CD Lalin score one and concede one a game over their last six, with two clean sheets. CD Lalin average 5.5 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Pontevedra CF B score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Pontevedra CF B average 4.3 corners and 4.7 cards a game.

The case against. Pontevedra CF B's record still gives them 27% to win.

The read. CD Lalin to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Lalin the likelier winners; both teams' records favour CD Lalin. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CD Lalin 1-0 Pontevedra CF B (10% chance).

The agreed story. CD Lalin or the draw, a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDL 6 of 6 (100%) · PON 5 of 6 (83%)93.8%

CD Lalin: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Pontevedra CF B: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · CD Lalin: only games in Pontevedra CF B's division · Pontevedra CF B: only games against sides at CD Lalin's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDL 6 of 6 (100%) · PON 5 of 6 (83%)93.8%

CD Lalin: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Pontevedra CF B: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · CD Lalin: only games in Pontevedra CF B's division · Pontevedra CF B: only games against sides at CD Lalin's level

CD LALIN GOALS

CD Lalin Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDL 5 of 6 (83%) · PON 6 of 6 (100%)70.3%

CD Lalin scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Pontevedra CF B conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 82% · CD Lalin: only games in Pontevedra CF B's division · Pontevedra CF B: only games against sides at CD Lalin's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10%

CD Lalin goals →

Pontevedra CF B goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD LALINLWDLWW1.67 PPG

PONTEVEDRA CF BLLWDLWLWLL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD LALIN HOMExPONTEVEDRA CF B AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.501.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1750%BOTH SCORED30%33%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.50CORNERS A GAME4.333.50CARDS A GAME4.67

TRENDS

CD Lalin have scored in 83% of their games.

Pontevedra CF B have scored in 50% of their games.

CD Lalin kept a clean sheet in 33% of their games.

Pontevedra CF B kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards