Asteras Tripolis vs Odysseas Moschatou WFC
Match details. Super League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Asteras Tripolis have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. Odysseas Moschatou WFC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Asteras Tripolis score 3.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Asteras Tripolis average 13.4 shots (4.4 on target), 6.8 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Odysseas Moschatou WFC score 0.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Odysseas Moschatou WFC average 9.2 shots (3.2 on target), 2.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The read. Asteras Tripolis to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Asteras Tripolis the likelier winners; Asteras Tripolis are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Asteras Tripolis. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. Predicted score: Asteras Tripolis 3-0 Odysseas Moschatou WFC (11% chance).
The agreed story. Asteras Tripolis or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Asteras Tripolis in their last cup games: won 3-0 at Niki Volou 1924 PAE (a division below), drew 1-1 v Aris Thessaloniki. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).