Al-Taawoun FC vs Al Qadsiah
Match details. Al-Taawoun FC host Al Qadsiah in the Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 10. The match is played at Al Taawon Club Stadium, Buraidah. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 16:10 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al-Taawoun FC sit 17th on 4 points after 9 games, two points behind Al-Fateh and two points clear of Abha. A win would take them above Al-Fateh. Al Qadsiah are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, one point clear of Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
Form. Al-Taawoun FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, picking up 0.7 points a game. Their last five matches read D W L D L. Al Qadsiah have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, averaging 2.3 points a game. Their last five show W D W W D.
The numbers. Al-Taawoun FC score 0.7 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. They average 11.6 shots (3.2 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Al Qadsiah score 2.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. They average 11.5 shots (5.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings, Al-Taawoun FC have won five, drawn one and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Al-Taawoun FC won two, one was drawn and Al Qadsiah won one. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished 1-1 as Al-Taawoun FC had 2 shots to 17, 35% of the ball and three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and for me, the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals here. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records also put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The read. Al Qadsiah to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Al Qadsiah the likelier winners, and they are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Al Qadsiah, while seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Al Qadsiah at 1.15, 79% on the records (Al Qadsiah unbeaten in 7 of 8; Al-Taawoun FC failed to win 8 of 8). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al Qadsiah or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al Qadsiah Over 1.5 goals (Al-Taawoun FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Al-Taawoun FC 0-1 Al Qadsiah (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).