Match details. 2. Lig. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Somaspor have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Aliaga Futbol have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Somaspor score two and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Somaspor average 2.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. Aliaga Futbol score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Aliaga Futbol average 3.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Somaspor's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Aliaga Futbol to win. An open game. Aliaga Futbol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aliaga Futbol. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Aliaga Futbol Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Aliaga Futbol Win & BTTS (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Somaspor 1-2 Aliaga Futbol (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Aliaga Futbol or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SOM 4 of 5 (80%) · ALI 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
Aliaga Futbol: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Somaspor: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Aliaga Futbol: only games in Somaspor's division · Somaspor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Aliaga Futbol or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SOM 3 of 5 (60%) · ALI 5 of 5 (100%)81.7%
Aliaga Futbol: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Somaspor: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Aliaga Futbol: only games in Somaspor's division · Somaspor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Double Chance: Draw or Aliaga FutbolLEANHELD · the odds board 90%
1.11
SOM 4 of 5 (80%) · ALI 4 of 5 (80%)60.4%
Aliaga Futbol unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Somaspor failed to win 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Aliaga Futbol: only games in Somaspor's division · Somaspor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SOM 5 of 5 (100%) · ALI 4 of 5 (80%)92.9%
Somaspor: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Aliaga Futbol: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Somaspor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level · Aliaga Futbol: only games in Somaspor's division
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SOM 5 of 5 (100%) · ALI 4 of 5 (80%)76.5%
Somaspor: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Aliaga Futbol: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Somaspor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level · Aliaga Futbol: only games in Somaspor's division
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
SOM 5 of 5 (100%) · ALI 3 of 5 (60%)51.6%
Somaspor: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Aliaga Futbol: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Somaspor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level · Aliaga Futbol: only games in Somaspor's division
ALIAGA FUTBOL GOALS
Aliaga Futbol Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SOM 3 of 5 (60%) · ALI 5 of 5 (100%)72.9%
Aliaga Futbol scored in 3 of 5 away · Somaspor conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Aliaga Futbol: only games in Somaspor's division · Somaspor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Left off the list: Aliaga Futbol Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (26%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Aliaga Futbol Win & BTTS (the numbers (17%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–27.9%
Somaspor goals →
Aliaga Futbol goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SOMASPORLWWLWDLLDL1.10 PPG
ALIAGA FUTBOLWWWLWWDDLD1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SOMASPOR HOMExALIAGA FUTBOL AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME2.172.00CONCEDED A GAME1.5070%BOTH SCORED50%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%2.00CORNERS A GAME3.504.00CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Somaspor have scored in 80% of their games.
Aliaga Futbol have scored in 70% of their games.
Somaspor kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Aliaga Futbol kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards