Cesena FC vs US Avellino
Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Dino Manuzzi, Cesena. The referee is Daniele Perenzoni.
What's at stake. Cesena FC are 11th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Hellas Verona, level on points with Carrarese. A win would take them above Hellas Verona. US Avellino are 8th on 10 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Benevento, 1 point clear of Virtus Entella. A win would take them above Benevento.
Form. Cesena FC have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. US Avellino have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W.
The numbers. Cesena FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Cesena FC average 10.3 shots (4.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. US Avellino score 0.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. US Avellino average 8.9 shots (4.0 on target), 2.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Cesena FC have won three, drawn two and lost one. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Cesena FC won two, one was drawn and US Avellino won one. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2026, it finished Cesena FC 1-3 US Avellino: Cesena FC had 11 shots to 11, 51% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; four of the last six meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28, 74% on the records (Cesena FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; US Avellino: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9). Backup: US Avellino Over 0.5 Goals at 1.36. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Cesena FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); US Avellino or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Cesena FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Cesena FC 2-1 US Avellino (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).