Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Numancia have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W. CF Talavera de La Reina have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. CD Numancia score 0.9 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Numancia average 9.3 shots (2.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.7 cards a game. CF Talavera de La Reina score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CF Talavera de La Reina average 10.8 shots (3.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Numancia or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CF Talavera de La Reina or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Numancia 1-1 CF Talavera de La Reina (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).