Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Match details. Serie D, Group H. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Fidelis Andria have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. Virtus Francavilla Calcio have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Fidelis Andria score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Fidelis Andria average 10.7 shots (3.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Virtus Francavilla Calcio score 2.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Virtus Francavilla Calcio average 15.0 shots (5.7 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 35% against the records' 69%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. No firm call: Virtus Francavilla Calcio are the better side, but not at this price. Virtus Francavilla Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Virtus Francavilla Calcio.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Fidelis Andria 1-1 Virtus Francavilla Calcio (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).