ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP G
14:00Sun 18 Oct
PAG
PC
US Venafro vs Paganese Calcio
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Serie D, Group G. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. US Venafro have won one, drawn two and lost five of their last eight, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. Paganese Calcio have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W.
The numbers. US Venafro score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. US Venafro average 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Paganese Calcio score 2.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Paganese Calcio average 10.2 shots (3.5 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. Paganese Calcio to win. Paganese Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Paganese Calcio.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: US Venafro 0-1 Paganese Calcio (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Paganese Calcio or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 6 of 8 (75%) · PAG 7 of 7 (100%)87.5%
Paganese Calcio: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level
Paganese Calcio or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 7 of 8 (88%) · PAG 6 of 7 (86%)86.6%
Paganese Calcio: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level
Paganese Calcio or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 7 of 8 (88%) · PAG 4 of 7 (57%)72.3%
Paganese Calcio: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level
Paganese Calcio (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 5 of 7 (71%) · PAG 4 of 5 (80%)54%
Paganese Calcio won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · US Venafro lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 76% · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · won 6, refunded 0, lost 1
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 7 of 7 (100%) · PAG 7 of 8 (88%)95.1%
US Venafro: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 7 of 7 (100%) · PAG 7 of 8 (88%)91.9%
US Venafro: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 6 of 7 (86%) · PAG 5 of 8 (62%)87.8%
US Venafro: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 4 of 7 (57%) · PAG 6 of 8 (75%)73.9%
US Venafro: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 3 of 7 (43%) · PAG 5 of 8 (62%)53.4%
US Venafro: both scored in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level
US VENAFRO GOALS
US Venafro Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 4 of 7 (57%) · PAG 5 of 8 (62%)70.9%
US Venafro scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level
PAGANESE CALCIO GOALS
Paganese Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 7 of 8 (88%) · PAG 6 of 7 (86%)74.4%
Paganese Calcio scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 9.4%
US Venafro goals →
Paganese Calcio goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
US VENAFROLLDLLLWD0.62 PPG
PAGANESE CALCIOWWWWDWLLDW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US VENAFRO HOMExPAGANESE CALCIO AWAY
0.75SCORED A GAME2.101.62CONCEDED A GAME1.1012%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.00CORNERS A GAME2.503.00CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.40POINTS A GAME2.17-1.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.05LEAGUE GAMES6
Paganese Calcio: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
PAGANESE CALCIO 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
82%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 85/90
US VENAFRO OR DRAW
31%
NO · 80/85
PAGANESE CALCIO OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
US VENAFROxPAGANESE CALCIO
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.602.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
US Venafro have scored in 62% of their games.
Paganese Calcio have scored in 90% of their games.
US Venafro kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
Paganese Calcio kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards