Match details. Serie D, Group G. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Unipomezia 1938 have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. Asd Aranova have won two, drawn three and lost three of their last eight, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.
The numbers. Unipomezia 1938 score 2.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Asd Aranova score one and concede one a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Asd Aranova average 8.0 shots (3.5 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 58% against the records' 33%.
The read. No firm call: Unipomezia 1938 are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Unipomezia 1938 the likelier winners; Unipomezia 1938 are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Unipomezia 1938 1-1 Asd Aranova (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).