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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP F
US Recanatese crestURUSR
14:00Sun 18 Oct
LAQL’Aquila Calcio 1927 crestLA

US Recanatese vs L’Aquila Calcio 1927

CLASS E
Pick cardFull analysisShare
THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group F. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. US Recanatese have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. L’Aquila Calcio 1927 have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.

The numbers. US Recanatese score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. US Recanatese average 10.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. L’Aquila Calcio 1927 score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: L’Aquila Calcio 1927 or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); L’Aquila Calcio 1927 or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); L’Aquila Calcio 1927 or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: US Recanatese 1-1 L’Aquila Calcio 1927 (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USR 5 of 5 (100%) · LAQ 8 of 8 (100%)95.4%
US Recanatese: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · L’Aquila Calcio 1927: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · US Recanatese: only games against sides at L’Aquila Calcio 1927's level · L’Aquila Calcio 1927: only games against sides at US Recanatese's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USR 3 of 5 (60%) · LAQ 7 of 8 (88%)91.6%
US Recanatese: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · L’Aquila Calcio 1927: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · US Recanatese: only games against sides at L’Aquila Calcio 1927's level · L’Aquila Calcio 1927: only games against sides at US Recanatese's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USR 2 of 5 (40%) · LAQ 8 of 8 (100%)88.3%
US Recanatese: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · L’Aquila Calcio 1927: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · US Recanatese: only games against sides at L’Aquila Calcio 1927's level · L’Aquila Calcio 1927: only games against sides at US Recanatese's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USR 3 of 5 (60%) · LAQ 6 of 8 (75%)73.1%
US Recanatese: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · L’Aquila Calcio 1927: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · US Recanatese: only games against sides at L’Aquila Calcio 1927's level · L’Aquila Calcio 1927: only games against sides at US Recanatese's level
L’AQUILA CALCIO 1927 GOALS
L’Aquila Calcio 1927 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USR 7 of 8 (88%) · LAQ 3 of 5 (60%)70%
L’Aquila Calcio 1927 scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Recanatese conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 81% · L’Aquila Calcio 1927: only games against sides at US Recanatese's level · US Recanatese: only games against sides at L’Aquila Calcio 1927's level
Left off the list: L’Aquila Calcio 1927 or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); L’Aquila Calcio 1927 or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); L’Aquila Calcio 1927 or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
US Recanatese goals →
L’Aquila Calcio 1927 goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
US RECANATESEWDDDDWDLLL1.10 PPG
L’AQUILA CALCIO 1927DWWWDDWWDW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US RECANATESE HOMExL’AQUILA CALCIO 1927 AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.901.40CONCEDED A GAME0.6020%CLEAN SHEETS50%
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
47%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 85/90
US RECANATESE OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
L’AQUILA CALCIO 1927 OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
US Recanatese have scored in 80% of their games.
L’Aquila Calcio 1927 have scored in 90% of their games.
US Recanatese kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
L’Aquila Calcio 1927 kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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