Match details. Serie D, Group F. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Notaresco Calcio have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Maceratese have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. Notaresco Calcio score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Notaresco Calcio average 11.2 shots (5.3 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Maceratese score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Maceratese average 8.8 shots (2.6 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Maceratese's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Notaresco Calcio to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Notaresco Calcio the likelier winners; Notaresco Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Notaresco Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Notaresco Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Notaresco Calcio 1-0 Maceratese (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Notaresco Calcio or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOT 8 of 9 (89%) · MAC 8 of 9 (89%)88.9%
Notaresco Calcio: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Maceratese: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Notaresco Calcio: only games against sides at Maceratese's level · Maceratese: only games against sides at Notaresco Calcio's level
Notaresco Calcio or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOT 4 of 5 (80%) · MAC 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Notaresco Calcio scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Maceratese trailed or failed to win in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notaresco Calcio: only games against sides at Maceratese's level · Maceratese: only games against sides at Notaresco Calcio's level
Notaresco Calcio or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOT 6 of 9 (67%) · MAC 8 of 9 (89%)77.8%
Notaresco Calcio: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Maceratese: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Notaresco Calcio: only games against sides at Maceratese's level · Maceratese: only games against sides at Notaresco Calcio's level
Notaresco Calcio (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOT 3 of 6 (50%) · MAC 5 of 7 (71%)66.3%
Notaresco Calcio won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Maceratese lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · Notaresco Calcio: only games against sides at Maceratese's level · Maceratese: only games against sides at Notaresco Calcio's level · won 4, refunded 1, lost 3
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOT 9 of 9 (100%) · MAC 9 of 9 (100%)95.1%
Notaresco Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Maceratese: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Notaresco Calcio: only games against sides at Maceratese's level · Maceratese: only games against sides at Notaresco Calcio's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOT 9 of 9 (100%) · MAC 8 of 9 (89%)87.7%
Notaresco Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Maceratese: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Notaresco Calcio: only games against sides at Maceratese's level · Maceratese: only games against sides at Notaresco Calcio's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOT 6 of 9 (67%) · MAC 4 of 9 (44%)51.7%
Notaresco Calcio: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Maceratese: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Notaresco Calcio: only games against sides at Maceratese's level · Maceratese: only games against sides at Notaresco Calcio's level
NOTARESCO CALCIO GOALS
Notaresco Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOT 8 of 9 (89%) · MAC 8 of 9 (89%)79%
Notaresco Calcio scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Maceratese conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Notaresco Calcio: only games against sides at Maceratese's level · Maceratese: only games against sides at Notaresco Calcio's level
MACERATESE GOALS
Maceratese Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOT 5 of 9 (56%) · MAC 7 of 9 (78%)64.7%
Maceratese scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Notaresco Calcio conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Maceratese: only games against sides at Notaresco Calcio's level · Notaresco Calcio: only games against sides at Maceratese's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOT 5 of 5 (100%) · MAC 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
Notaresco Calcio's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Maceratese's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Notaresco Calcio: only games against sides at Maceratese's level · Maceratese: only games against sides at Notaresco Calcio's level
Left off the list: Notaresco Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Notaresco Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.8%
Notaresco Calcio goals →
Maceratese goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
NOTARESCO CALCIODLDLDWLDWW1.30 PPG
MACERATESEDLDLLLWDWL0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NOTARESCO CALCIO HOMExMACERATESE AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME0.901.30CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.50CORNERS A GAME3.003.00CARDS A GAME1.88
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME0.80+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.21.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.85LEAGUE GAMES5
Notaresco Calcio: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NOTARESCO CALCIO OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
MACERATESE OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NOTARESCO CALCIOxMACERATESE
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME2.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Notaresco Calcio have scored in 90% of their games.
Maceratese have scored in 60% of their games.
Notaresco Calcio kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Maceratese kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards