Match details. Serie D, Group F. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. AC Foligno 1928 have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L. Giulianova Calcio have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D.
The numbers. AC Foligno 1928 score 1.1 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. AC Foligno 1928 average 12.0 shots (4.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Giulianova Calcio score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Giulianova Calcio average 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Giulianova Calcio's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. AC Foligno 1928 to win. A tight game. AC Foligno 1928 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Foligno 1928. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AC Foligno 1928 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AC Foligno 1928 or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AC Foligno 1928 1-0 Giulianova Calcio (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).