Match details. 1. Liga, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Arsenal Stadium (Tula).
What's at stake. PFK Arsenal Tula are 11th on 16 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Volga Ulyanovsk, 1 point clear of Chelyabinsk. A win would take them above Volga Ulyanovsk. FC Kamaz Naberezhnye Chelny are 14th on 13 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Enisey, level on points with Leningradets. A win would take them above Enisey.
Form. PFK Arsenal Tula have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. In this competition PFK Arsenal Tula have gone L W L D L D. FC Kamaz Naberezhnye Chelny have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. In this competition FC Kamaz Naberezhnye Chelny have gone W D W D L W.
The numbers. PFK Arsenal Tula score 1.2 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. PFK Arsenal Tula average 7.3 shots (3.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. FC Kamaz Naberezhnye Chelny score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC Kamaz Naberezhnye Chelny average 6.7 shots (3.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings PFK Arsenal Tula have won three, drawn three and lost two. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, PFK Arsenal Tula won one, two were drawn and FC Kamaz Naberezhnye Chelny won one. The last time they met, on 27 Feb 2026, it finished PFK Arsenal Tula 1-1 FC Kamaz Naberezhnye Chelny.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%; seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%. Seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: PFK Arsenal Tula 1-1 FC Kamaz Naberezhnye Chelny (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).