Match details. League One, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kassam Stadium, Oxford.
What's at stake. Oxford United are 8th on 18 points after 9 games, level on points with Sheffield Wednesday, 3 points clear of Stevenage. A win would take them above Sheffield Wednesday. Bradford City FC are 3rd on 21 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Huddersfield, 1 point clear of Cambridge United. A win would take them above Huddersfield.
Form. Oxford United have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D. Bradford City FC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D.
The numbers. Oxford United score two and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Oxford United average 5.9 shots (3.1 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Bradford City FC score 1.7 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. Bradford City FC average 11.9 shots (3.1 on target), 7.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Oxford United have won four, drawn one and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Oxford United won one, one was drawn and Bradford City FC won two. The last time they met, on 16 Mar 2019, it finished Oxford United 1-0 Bradford City FC.
The case against. Bradford City FC's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Oxford United or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Oxford United the likelier winners; Oxford United are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28, 74% on the records (Oxford United: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Bradford City FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Oxford United or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Oxford United 1UP (no side to back); Oxford United Over 0.5 goals (Bradford City FC's own games don't back it (1 of 7)). Predicted score: Oxford United 1-1 Bradford City FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).