AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers
Match details. League One, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Plough Lane, Wimbledon.
What's at stake. AFC Wimbledon are 16th on 12 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Wycombe, 1 point clear of Blackpool. A win would take them above Wycombe. Wycombe Wanderers are 15th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with Burton Albion, 2 points clear of AFC Wimbledon. A win would take them above Burton Albion.
Form. AFC Wimbledon have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. Wycombe Wanderers have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.
The numbers. AFC Wimbledon score 0.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. AFC Wimbledon average 11.4 shots (2.9 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Wycombe Wanderers score 2.1 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Wycombe Wanderers average 13.5 shots (4.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings AFC Wimbledon have won four, drawn three and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, AFC Wimbledon won two and Wycombe Wanderers won two. The last time they met, on 4 Jan 2026, it finished AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Wycombe Wanderers: AFC Wimbledon had 7 shots to 13, 50% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. AFC Wimbledon's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. Wycombe Wanderers or the draw. A tight game. Wycombe Wanderers are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38, 73% on the records (AFC Wimbledon: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; Wycombe Wanderers: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Wycombe Wanderers (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).