Match details. League 1, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Recreation Park, Alloa.
What's at stake. Alloa Athletic FC are 6th on 12 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Airdrie United, 2 points clear of Peterhead. A win would take them above Airdrie United. Queen of the South FC are 8th on 10 points after 11 games, level on points with Peterhead, 1 point clear of East Fife. A win would take them above Peterhead.
Form. Alloa Athletic FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. In this competition Alloa Athletic FC have gone W L L L L D. Queen of the South FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Queen of the South FC have gone L W W L L D.
The numbers. Alloa Athletic FC score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Queen of the South FC score 1.1 and concede 2.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Alloa Athletic FC have won two, drawn three and lost five. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Alloa Athletic FC won two and Queen of the South FC won two. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished Alloa Athletic FC 2-0 Queen of the South FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Alloa Athletic FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Queen of the South FC: in the last ten meetings, Alloa Athletic FC won two, Queen of the South FC won five and three were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Alloa Athletic FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Double Chance: Alloa Athletic FC or Queen of the South FC (no result call). Predicted score: Alloa Athletic FC 1-1 Queen of the South FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).