Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston. The referee is R. Hardie.
What's at stake. Livingston FC are 6th on 14 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Dunfermline, 2 points clear of Ayr Utd. A win would take them above Dunfermline. Arbroath FC are 8th on 11 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Ayr Utd, 4 points clear of Morton. A win would take them above Ayr Utd.
Form. Livingston FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. In this competition Livingston FC have gone D L L W D W. Arbroath FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Arbroath FC have gone L L L W L L.
The numbers. Livingston FC score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Arbroath FC score 0.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 29 Aug 2026, it finished Livingston FC 0-1 Arbroath FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 47%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. No firm call: Livingston FC are the better side, but not at this price. Livingston FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Livingston FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Livingston FC 1-1 Arbroath FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).