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SCOTLAND - CHAMPIONSHIP
Livingston FC crestLFLIV
15:00Sat 24 Oct
ARBArbroath FC crestAF

Livingston FC vs Arbroath FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston. The referee is R. Hardie.

What's at stake. Livingston FC are 6th on 14 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Dunfermline, 2 points clear of Ayr Utd. A win would take them above Dunfermline. Arbroath FC are 8th on 11 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Ayr Utd, 4 points clear of Morton. A win would take them above Ayr Utd.

Form. Livingston FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. In this competition Livingston FC have gone D L L W D W. Arbroath FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Arbroath FC have gone L L L W L L.

The numbers. Livingston FC score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Arbroath FC score 0.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 29 Aug 2026, it finished Livingston FC 0-1 Arbroath FC.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 47%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The read. No firm call: Livingston FC are the better side, but not at this price. Livingston FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Livingston FC.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Livingston FC 1-1 Arbroath FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
LIV 5 of 5 (100%) · ARB 5 of 5 (100%)91.1%
Livingston FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Arbroath FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Arbroath FC's level · Arbroath FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.22
LIV 4 of 5 (80%) · ARB 4 of 5 (80%)68.2%
Livingston FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Arbroath FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Arbroath FC's level · Arbroath FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
LIVINGSTON FC GOALS
Livingston FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
LIV 4 of 5 (80%) · ARB 5 of 5 (100%)78.5%
Livingston FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Arbroath FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Arbroath FC's level · Arbroath FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.30
LIV 5 of 5 (100%) · ARB 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Livingston FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Arbroath FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Arbroath FC's level · Arbroath FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.13
LIV 4 of 5 (80%) · ARB 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Livingston FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Arbroath FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Arbroath FC's level · Arbroath FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.17
LIV 3 of 5 (60%) · ARB 5 of 5 (100%)83.3%
Livingston FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Arbroath FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Arbroath FC's level · Arbroath FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
LIV 3 of 5 (60%) · ARB 2 of 5 (40%)53.3%
Livingston FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Arbroath FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · on half-time scores · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Arbroath FC's level · Arbroath FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
Livingston FC goals →
Arbroath FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
LIVINGSTON FCLWLLWDWLLD1.10 PPG
ARBROATH FCDWWDLLWLLL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LIVINGSTON FC HOMExARBROATH FC AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME0.701.10CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS20%36%FAILED TO SCORE55%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
LIVINGSTON FC OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.27POINTS A GAME1.00+0.27GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.91+3.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-8.41.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.611LEAGUE GAMES11
Livingston FC: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
LIVINGSTON FC OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
ARBROATH FC OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LIVINGSTON FCxARBROATH FC
6GAMES61.33SCORED A GAME0.331.17CONCEDED A GAME2.172.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.583%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%50%BOTH SCORE17%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
LIVINGSTON FC 0 · 0%DRAW 0ARBROATH FC 1 · 100%
2026-08-29Livingston FC 0 – 1 Arbroath FC
TRENDS
Livingston FC failed to score in 36% of their games.
Arbroath FC failed to score in 55% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table
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