Wolves vs Watford
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton.
What's at stake. Wolves are 7th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Stoke City, 1 point clear of Southampton. A win would take them above Stoke City. Watford are 20th on 11 points after 11 games, level on points with Cardiff, 2 points clear of Norwich. A win would take them above Cardiff.
Team news. Wolves are without R. Gomes (foot injury), R. Jimenez (knee injury), B. Traore (injury), B. Traore (injury), A. Armstrong (back injury), R. Gomes (foot injury). Watford are without T. Akomeah (lacking match fitness), M. Antonio (inactive), K. Baah (knock), E. Bove (knee injury), J. Ngakia (thigh injury), T. Akomeah (lacking match fitness).
Form. Wolves have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. Watford have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Wolves score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Wolves average 15.8 shots (3.9 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Watford score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Watford average 12.6 shots (4.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Wolves have won five, drawn two and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Wolves won three and Watford won one. The last time they met, on 10 Mar 2022, it finished Wolves 4-0 Watford: Wolves had 10 shots to 9, 66% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Watford's record still gives them 29% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Wolves to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Wolves the likelier winners; Wolves are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wolves; the meetings favour Wolves. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Wolves or Draw at 1.10, 88% on the records (Wolves unbeaten in 6 of 9; Watford failed to win 7 of 9). Backup: Wolves Over 0.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Wolves are a clear winner, no Unders); Wolves or draw and under 3.5 goals (Wolves are a clear winner, no Unders); Wolves win and under 3.5 goals (Wolves are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Wolves 2-0 Watford (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).