Stoke City vs Bristol City
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent.
What's at stake. Stoke City are 6th on 19 points after 11 games, 1 point behind West Brom, 1 point clear of Wolves. A win would take them above West Brom. Bristol City are 16th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with Bolton, level on points with Charlton. A win would take them above Bolton.
Team news. Stoke City are without A. Ampah (knee injury), A. Cresswell (knee injury), S. Gallagher (injury), S. Ingelsson (muscle injury), A. Ampah (knee injury), A. Cresswell (knee injury). Bristol City are without R. Dickie (knee injury), N. Eile (illness), L. Tolaj (knock), J. Williams (inactive), R. Dickie (knee injury), N. Eile (illness).
Form. Stoke City have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. Bristol City have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L.
The numbers. Stoke City score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Stoke City average 11.9 shots (4.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Bristol City score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Bristol City average 15.4 shots (4.9 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Stoke City have won four, drawn one and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Stoke City won one, one was drawn and Bristol City won two. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Stoke City 0-2 Bristol City: Stoke City had 16 shots to 13, 54% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Bristol City's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Stoke City to win. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Stoke City the likelier winners; Stoke City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Stoke City. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 1X2 - 2UP: Stoke City (the signs point different ways); Bristol City Under 1.5 goals (Bristol City's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Stoke City 2-1 Bristol City (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).