Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Queens Park Rangers have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. Swansea City have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.
The numbers. Queens Park Rangers score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Queens Park Rangers average 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Swansea City score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Swansea City average 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.31, 75% on the records (Queens Park Rangers: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Swansea City: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Swansea City or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Swansea City or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Swansea City (no result call). Predicted score: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Swansea City (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).