Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ewood Park, Blackburn.
What's at stake. Blackburn Rovers are 10th on 15 points after 11 games, 2 points behind QPR, level on points with Sheffield Utd. A win would take them above QPR. Wrexham AFC are 14th on 14 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Portsmouth, level on points with Bolton. A win would take them above Portsmouth.
Team news. Blackburn Rovers are without A. Forshaw (hip injury), M. Litherland (muscle injury), L. Miller (achilles tendon injury), Y. Ohashi (hamstring injury), Y. Ribeiro (hamstring injury), S. Wharton (achilles tendon injury). Wrexham AFC are without N. Broadhead (thigh injury), L. Cacace (calf injury), M. Cleworth (muscle injury), B. Sheaf (injury), G. Thomason (thigh injury), J. Windass (ankle injury).
Form. Blackburn Rovers have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. Wrexham AFC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L.
The numbers. Blackburn Rovers score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Blackburn Rovers average 11.9 shots (4.0 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Wrexham AFC score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Wrexham AFC average 10.8 shots (3.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Blackburn Rovers have won one, drawn one and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 1 Jan 2026, it finished Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Wrexham AFC: Blackburn Rovers had 12 shots to 7, 53% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Wrexham AFC's record still gives them 37% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The read. Blackburn Rovers or the draw. A tight game. Blackburn Rovers are the stronger side on form and the table. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28, 72% on the records (Blackburn Rovers: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Wrexham AFC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Blackburn Rovers or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Wrexham AFC Under 1.5 goals (Blackburn Rovers's own games don't back it (4 of 9)). Predicted score: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Wrexham AFC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).