Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:15 Lagos time. It is played at Municipal de Butarque, Leganes. The referee is Olatz Rivera Olmedo.
What's at stake. Leganes are 17th on 11 points after 10 games, level on points with Las Palmas, 1 point clear of FC Andorra. A win would take them above Las Palmas. Mallorca are 7th on 18 points after 10 games, level on points with Girona, 1 point clear of Burgos. A win would take them above Girona.
Form. Leganes have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. In this competition Leganes have gone L L L L W L. Mallorca have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W. In this competition Mallorca have gone D W D L W W.
The numbers. Leganes score 0.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. Leganes average 11.9 shots (3.5 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Mallorca score 0.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mallorca average 12.6 shots (4.1 on target), 5.5 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Leganes have won one, drawn two and lost three. None of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, one was drawn and Mallorca won three. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2025, it finished Leganes 0-0 Mallorca: Leganes had 15 shots to 11, 45% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. Leganes's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Mallorca to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Mallorca the likelier winners; Mallorca are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Mallorca. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 14%. Six of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, 77% on the records (Leganes: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Mallorca: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Mallorca or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Mallorca Over 0.5 goals (Mallorca's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Leganes 0-1 Mallorca (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).