Match details. 1. Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Polonii, Warsaw.
What's at stake. Polonia Warszawa are 2nd on 20 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, level on points with Nieciecza. A win would take them above Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Miedz Legnica are 8th on 17 points after 11 games, 1 point behind ŁKS Łódź, level on points with Stal Rzeszów. A win would take them above ŁKS Łódź.
Form. Polonia Warszawa have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. In this competition Polonia Warszawa have gone W W W D L L. Miedz Legnica have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition Miedz Legnica have gone W L L L D W.
The numbers. Polonia Warszawa score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Polonia Warszawa average 5.9 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Miedz Legnica score 1.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Miedz Legnica average 5.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Polonia Warszawa have won one, drawn two and lost three. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Polonia Warszawa won one, two were drawn and Miedz Legnica won one. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2026, it finished Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Miedz Legnica.
The case against. Miedz Legnica's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Polonia Warszawa or the draw. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 76% on the records (Polonia Warszawa: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Miedz Legnica: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Polonia Warszawa or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Polonia Warszawa 2-1 Miedz Legnica (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).