Match details. Liga de Ascenso. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Rio Blanco have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. CD Ocotal have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.
The numbers. CD Rio Blanco score 1.8 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD Rio Blanco average 3.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CD Ocotal score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. CD Ocotal average 5.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. CD Rio Blanco's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. CD Ocotal to win. An open game. CD Ocotal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Ocotal. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, rated 75% (CD Rio Blanco: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10; CD Ocotal: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: CD Rio Blanco or CD Ocotal at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: CD Rio Blanco 1-2 CD Ocotal (8% chance).
The agreed story. CD Ocotal or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).