Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca vs Costa Brava de General Pico
Match details. Torneo Federal A, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio El Fortin.
What's at stake. Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca are 16th on 23 points after 16 games, 1 point behind Sportivo Las Parejas, level on points with Argentino Monte Maíz. A win would take them above Sportivo Las Parejas. Costa Brava de General Pico are 27th on 18 points after 16 games, 1 point behind El Linqueño, level on points with Sol de Mayo. A win would take them above El Linqueño. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. In this competition Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca have gone D D L W D D. Costa Brava de General Pico have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. In this competition Costa Brava de General Pico have gone D W W D L W.
The numbers. Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca average 6.9 shots (3.0 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Costa Brava de General Pico score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Costa Brava de General Pico average 9.7 shots (5.3 on target), 2.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 11 Oct 2026, it finished Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca 1-1 Costa Brava de General Pico: Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca had 3 shots to 12, 45% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 58%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, 77% on the records (Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Costa Brava de General Pico: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Costa Brava de General Pico or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca 1-1 Costa Brava de General Pico (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).