ILINT

16:00Sun 18 Oct

NAS

Inter Lagos FC vs Nasarawa United

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Inter Lagos FC are 20th on 2 points after 8 games, 5 points behind Enyimba. Nasarawa United are 12th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Kwara United, level on points with Shooting Stars. A win would take them above Kwara United.

Form. Inter Lagos FC have won one, drawn two and lost five of their last eight, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. In this competition Inter Lagos FC have gone L D L D W L. Nasarawa United have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D.

The numbers. Inter Lagos FC score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Inter Lagos FC average 8.2 shots (3.7 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Nasarawa United score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Nasarawa United average 11.8 shots (3.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The case against. Inter Lagos FC's record still gives them 40% to win.

The read. Nasarawa United or the draw. Nasarawa United are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Inter Lagos FC Under 1.5 goals (Nasarawa United's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Inter Lagos FC 1-1 Nasarawa United (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Nasarawa United or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

INT 1 of 5 (20%) · NAS 8 of 8 (100%)70.9%

Nasarawa United: the bet landed in 1 of 5 away · Inter Lagos FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Inter Lagos FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

INT 8 of 8 (100%) · NAS 5 of 5 (100%)96.4%

Inter Lagos FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nasarawa United: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Inter Lagos FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

INT 8 of 8 (100%) · NAS 5 of 5 (100%)90.7%

Inter Lagos FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nasarawa United: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Inter Lagos FC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

INT 8 of 8 (100%) · NAS 4 of 5 (80%)85.9%

Inter Lagos FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nasarawa United: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Inter Lagos FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

INT 7 of 8 (88%) · NAS 4 of 5 (80%)79.2%

Inter Lagos FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nasarawa United: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Inter Lagos FC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

INT 5 of 8 (62%) · NAS 1 of 5 (20%)60.5%

Inter Lagos FC: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nasarawa United: under 2.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 61% · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Inter Lagos FC's level

NASARAWA UNITED GOALS

Nasarawa United Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.60

INT 3 of 5 (60%) · NAS 7 of 8 (88%)69.4%

Nasarawa United scored in 3 of 5 away · Inter Lagos FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Inter Lagos FC's level

Left off the list: Inter Lagos FC Under 1.5 goals (Nasarawa United's own games don't back it (1 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

Inter Lagos FC goals →

Nasarawa United goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

INTER LAGOS FCLLLWDLDL0.62 PPG

NASARAWA UNITEDWLLWLDLWDW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

INTER LAGOS FC HOMExNASARAWA UNITED AWAY

0.62SCORED A GAME0.901.62CONCEDED A GAME1.1012%CLEAN SHEETS50%38%FAILED TO SCORE12%3.33CORNERS A GAME5.501.83CARDS A GAME1.75

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

INTER LAGOS FC 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.62POINTS A GAME1.38-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-3.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES8

Nasarawa United: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

36%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

INTER LAGOS FC OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

NASARAWA UNITED OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

INTER LAGOS FCxNASARAWA UNITED

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME0.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Inter Lagos FC have scored in 62% of their games.

Nasarawa United have scored in 80% of their games.

Inter Lagos FC kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.

Nasarawa United kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards