Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sardar Azadegan Stadium, Qazvin.
What's at stake. Shams Azar Qazvin are 16th on 6 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Sanat Naft, level on points with Esteghlal Khuzestan. A win would take them above Sanat Naft. Sepahan SC are 4th on 16 points after 8 games, level on points with Esteghlal FC, 1 point clear of Foolad FC. A win would take them above Esteghlal FC.
Form. Shams Azar Qazvin have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W. Sepahan SC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Shams Azar Qazvin score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Shams Azar Qazvin average 1.6 shots (1.2 on target), 0.8 corners and 0.2 cards a game. Sepahan SC score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sepahan SC average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Shams Azar Qazvin have won one, drawn one and lost four. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and Sepahan SC won three. The last time they met, on 31 Oct 2025, it finished Shams Azar Qazvin 0-1 Sepahan SC.
The read. Sepahan SC to win. A tight game. Sepahan SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sepahan SC; the meetings favour Sepahan SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sepahan SC Over 0.5 Goals (Sepahan SC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Shams Azar Qazvin 0-1 Sepahan SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).