THE READ
Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. SC Olhanense have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. FC Oliveira do Hospital have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition FC Oliveira do Hospital have gone W.
The numbers. SC Olhanense score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. SC Olhanense average 9.0 corners and 7.0 cards a game. FC Oliveira do Hospital score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. FC Oliveira do Hospital average 10.9 shots (3.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 4.1 cards a game.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 64) with penalties if level, and FC Oliveira do Hospital are not clearly stronger. SC Olhanense's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. FC Oliveira do Hospital or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Oliveira do Hospital the likelier winners; FC Oliveira do Hospital are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Oliveira do Hospital. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or FC Oliveira do Hospital at 1.22, 70% on the records (FC Oliveira do Hospital unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; SC Olhanense failed to win 6 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Oliveira do Hospital or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Oliveira do Hospital or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Oliveira do Hospital to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: SC Olhanense 0-1 FC Oliveira do Hospital (15% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Oliveira do Hospital or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.16
SCO 4 of 5 (80%) · FCO 10 of 10 (100%)90%
FC Oliveira do Hospital: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · SC Olhanense: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · the call is FC Oliveira do Hospital or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 64) with penalties if level, and FC Oliveira do Hospital are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
FC Oliveira do Hospital win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.16
SCO 4 of 5 (80%) · FCO 6 of 10 (60%)71.7%
FC Oliveira do Hospital: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · SC Olhanense: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · the call is FC Oliveira do Hospital or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 64) with penalties if level, and FC Oliveira do Hospital are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Double Chance: Draw or FC Oliveira do HospitalMAININ CODES
1.22
SCO 4 of 5 (80%) · FCO 6 of 10 (60%)70%
FC Oliveira do Hospital unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · SC Olhanense failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
FC Oliveira do Hospital (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.34
SCO 6 of 8 (75%) · FCO 6 of 10 (60%)67.5%
FC Oliveira do Hospital won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · SC Olhanense lost 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 68% · won 6, refunded 1, lost 2
FC Oliveira do Hospital or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.67
SCO 4 of 10 (40%) · FCO 4 of 5 (80%)58.3%
SC Olhanense: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Oliveira do Hospital: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55%
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.13
SCO 8 of 10 (80%) · FCO 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
SC Olhanense: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Oliveira do Hospital: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
1.36
SCO 8 of 10 (80%) · FCO 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
SC Olhanense: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Oliveira do Hospital: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
SC OLHANENSE GOALS
SC Olhanense Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.30
SCO 9 of 10 (90%) · FCO 4 of 5 (80%)85%
SC Olhanense scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Oliveira do Hospital conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
FC OLIVEIRA DO HOSPITAL GOALS
FC Oliveira do Hospital Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.17
SCO 4 of 5 (80%) · FCO 6 of 10 (60%)71.7%
FC Oliveira do Hospital scored in 4 of 5 away · SC Olhanense conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
SCO 5 of 10 (50%) · FCO 3 of 5 (60%)56.1%
SC Olhanense: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Oliveira do Hospital: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: FC Oliveira do Hospital or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Oliveira do Hospital or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Oliveira do Hospital to Win (the numbers (49%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); SC Olhanense Over 0.5 goals (FC Oliveira do Hospital's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
THE NUMBERS
SC OLHANENSE HOMExFC OLIVEIRA DO HOSPITAL AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.401.50CONCEDED A GAME0.8050%CLEAN SHEETS40%9.00CORNERS A GAME4.207.00CARDS A GAME3.80
TRENDS
SC Olhanense have scored in 60% of their games.
FC Oliveira do Hospital have scored in 80% of their games.
SC Olhanense kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
FC Oliveira do Hospital kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.