Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Lusitania FC Lourosa have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Lusitania FC Lourosa have gone W. AD Os Limianos have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition AD Os Limianos have gone W W.
The numbers. Lusitania FC Lourosa score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Lusitania FC Lourosa average 18.3 shots (6.7 on target), 6.3 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. AD Os Limianos score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. AD Os Limianos average 9.4 shots (4.3 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1 AD Os Limianos (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).