BSBRI

15:00Sun 18 Oct

GDV

Brito SC vs GD Vitoria Sernache

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parque de Jogos do Brito SC.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Brito SC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition Brito SC have gone W. GD Vitoria Sernache have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition GD Vitoria Sernache have gone W W.

The numbers. Brito SC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Brito SC average 12.5 shots (3.7 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game. GD Vitoria Sernache score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. GD Vitoria Sernache average 7.6 shots (3.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Brito SC 1-2 GD Vitoria Sernache (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GD VITORIA SERNACHE GOALS

GD Vitoria Sernache Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.21

BRI 3 of 5 (60%) · GDV 4 of 6 (67%)65.6%

GD Vitoria Sernache scored in 3 of 5 away · Brito SC conceded in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.4%

Brito SC goals →

GD Vitoria Sernache goals ↓

0-06%

1-07%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-17%

1-112%

2-18%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.3%

1-50.5%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BRITO SCWLWWLLWLWL1.50 PPG

GD VITORIA SERNACHEWDLDLWLLWW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BRITO SC HOMExGD VITORIA SERNACHE AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.301.50CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS30%60%FAILED TO SCORE50%4.50CORNERS A GAME3.802.60CARDS A GAME3.00

TRENDS

Brito SC have scored in 60% of their games.

GD Vitoria Sernache have scored in 70% of their games.

Brito SC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

GD Vitoria Sernache kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards