USUNI

19:30Sun 18 Oct

FCF

Uniao SC Paredes vs FC Famalicao

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Uniao SC Paredes have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Uniao SC Paredes have gone W W. FC Famalicao have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D.

The numbers. Uniao SC Paredes score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Famalicao score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Famalicao average 10.0 shots (3.2 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 14% against the records' 50%.

The read. No firm call: Uniao SC Paredes are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Uniao SC Paredes the likelier winners; Uniao SC Paredes are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Uniao SC Paredes. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Famalicao or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Uniao SC Paredes); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FC Famalicao or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Uniao SC Paredes). Predicted score: Uniao SC Paredes 2-1 FC Famalicao (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Uniao SC Paredes or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · FCF 8 of 10 (80%)88.5%

Uniao SC Paredes: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · FC Famalicao: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against

Uniao SC Paredes or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.49

UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · FCF 6 of 10 (60%)77.7%

Uniao SC Paredes: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · FC Famalicao: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.20

UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · FCF 7 of 10 (70%)80.3%

Uniao SC Paredes: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Famalicao: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · FCF 5 of 10 (50%)69%

Uniao SC Paredes: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Famalicao: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · each game weighed by who it was against

UNIAO SC PAREDES GOALS

Uniao SC Paredes Over 0.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 60%

1.66

UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · FCF 7 of 10 (70%)83.6%

Uniao SC Paredes scored in 5 of 5 at home · FC Famalicao conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

FC FAMALICAO GOALS

FC Famalicao Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · FCF 5 of 5 (100%)86.9%

FC Famalicao scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Uniao SC Paredes conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · FCF 7 of 10 (70%)82.6%

Uniao SC Paredes: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · FC Famalicao: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: FC Famalicao or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Uniao SC Paredes); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); FC Famalicao or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Uniao SC Paredes); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.5%

Uniao SC Paredes goals →

FC Famalicao goals ↓

0-05%

1-07%

2-07%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-15%

1-111%

2-19%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.7%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.8%

5-30.3%

0-40.5%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.6%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.3%

2-50.3%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

UNIAO SC PAREDESLDWWLWWWWD2.00 PPG

FC FAMALICAOWLDLLDDDWL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UNIAO SC PAREDES HOMExFC FAMALICAO AWAY

2.10SCORED A GAME1.301.20CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE25%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Uniao SC Paredes failed to score in 0% of their games.

FC Famalicao failed to score in 25% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & against