Sign In
PORTUGAL - TACA DE PORTUGAL
CD Tondela crestCTCDT
15:00Sun 18 Oct
ALVAlverca Futebol crestAF

CD Tondela vs Alverca Futebol

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CD Tondela have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition CD Tondela have gone W. Alverca Futebol have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.

The numbers. CD Tondela score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CD Tondela average 12.0 shots (4.0 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Alverca Futebol score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alverca Futebol average 12.1 shots (4.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings CD Tondela have won none, drawn two and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 13 Feb 2026, it finished CD Tondela 1-1 Alverca Futebol: CD Tondela had 18 shots to 10, 60% of the ball, ten yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 54%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No firm call: CD Tondela are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make CD Tondela the likelier winners; CD Tondela are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Tondela.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Alverca Futebol win or both teams score (the call backs CD Tondela); Alverca Futebol or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs CD Tondela). Predicted score: CD Tondela 1-1 Alverca Futebol (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Tondela or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · ALV 5 of 5 (100%)93.6%
CD Tondela: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Alverca Futebol: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4 · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level
CD Tondela or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
1.37
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · ALV 5 of 5 (100%)85%
CD Tondela: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Alverca Futebol: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · ALV 4 of 5 (80%)91.4%
CD Tondela: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Alverca Futebol: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.30
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · ALV 4 of 5 (80%)79.3%
CD Tondela: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Alverca Futebol: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level
CD TONDELA GOALS
CD Tondela Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.39
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · ALV 5 of 5 (100%)85%
CD Tondela scored in 4 of 5 at home · Alverca Futebol conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.39
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · ALV 4 of 5 (80%)80%
CD Tondela: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Alverca Futebol: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · ALV 8 of 8 (100%)100%
CD Tondela's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Alverca Futebol's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level
Left off the list: Alverca Futebol win or both teams score (the call backs CD Tondela); Alverca Futebol or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs CD Tondela)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.6%
CD Tondela goals →
Alverca Futebol goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
CD TONDELAWLWLLLWWWW1.80 PPG
ALVERCA FUTEBOLDLLDLDLWWW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD TONDELA HOMExALVERCA FUTEBOL AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%CLEAN SHEETS10%43%FAILED TO SCORE12%5.30CORNERS A GAME4.753.80CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.71POINTS A GAME2.00+0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.21.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES5
Alverca Futebol: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD TONDELA OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
ALVERCA FUTEBOL OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD TONDELAxALVERCA FUTEBOL
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%0%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
CD TONDELA 0 · 0%DRAW 2ALVERCA FUTEBOL 2 · 50%
3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-01-12CD Tondela 1 – 1 Alverca Futebol
2025-05-11CD Tondela 1 – 2 Alverca Futebol
2025-09-12CD Tondela 0 – 1 Alverca Futebol
2026-02-13CD Tondela 1 – 1 Alverca Futebol
TRENDS
CD Tondela have scored in 70% of their games.
Alverca Futebol have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Tondela kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Alverca Futebol kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
HomeAnalysisBest 10PicksBankBuild · AIMarketsShareAccount