CFCDF

15:00Sun 18 Oct

ACA

CD Fatima vs Academico de Viseu FC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Papa Francisco, Fátima.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CD Fatima have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition CD Fatima have gone W W. Academico de Viseu FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.

The numbers. CD Fatima score 2.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet. CD Fatima average 11.3 shots (4.4 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Academico de Viseu FC score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Academico de Viseu FC average 9.9 shots (3.5 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.

The case against. CD Fatima's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Academico de Viseu FC to win. An open game. CD Fatima are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Academico de Viseu FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Academico de Viseu FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CD Fatima 1-2 Academico de Viseu FC (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

ACADEMICO DE VISEU FC GOALS

Academico de Viseu FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.09

CDF 5 of 5 (100%) · ACA 6 of 7 (86%)88.5%

Academico de Viseu FC scored in 5 of 5 away · CD Fatima conceded in 6 of 7 at home · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

CDF 6 of 7 (86%) · ACA 5 of 5 (100%)90.2%

CD Fatima: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Academico de Viseu FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Academico de Viseu FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Academico de Viseu FC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.8%

CD Fatima goals →

Academico de Viseu FC goals ↓

0-05%

1-06%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.5%

0-16%

1-111%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.5%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.8%

5-30.3%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD FATIMADWWDWWLLWL1.70 PPG

ACADEMICO DE VISEU FCWDDLDLWWWW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD FATIMA HOMExACADEMICO DE VISEU FC AWAY

2.30SCORED A GAME1.301.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS40%40%FAILED TO SCORE25%5.00CORNERS A GAME2.752.10CARDS A GAME2.88

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR ACADEMICO DE VISEU FC (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

CD Fatima have scored in 80% of their games.

Academico de Viseu FC have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Fatima kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Academico de Viseu FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards