Match details. National League. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Cashmere Technical have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. Auckland FC Reserves have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W.
The numbers. Cashmere Technical score 5.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Auckland FC Reserves score 2.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
The case against. Auckland FC Reserves's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Cashmere Technical to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cashmere Technical the likelier winners; Cashmere Technical are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cashmere Technical. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 98%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Cashmere Technical 3-1 Auckland FC Reserves (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).