BUBIR

04:00Sun 18 Oct

NAP

Birkenhead United AFC vs Napier City Rovers AFC

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. National League, Championship Group - 4. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 04:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Birkenhead United AFC are 8th on 3 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Napier City Rovers, 2 points clear of Auckland FC 2. A win would take them above Napier City Rovers. Napier City Rovers AFC are 7th on 4 points after 3 games, level on points with Ferrymead Bays, 1 point clear of Birkenhead United. A win would take them above Ferrymead Bays.

Form. Birkenhead United AFC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition Birkenhead United AFC have gone W L W W L L. Napier City Rovers AFC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L.

The numbers. Birkenhead United AFC score 1.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Napier City Rovers AFC score three and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Birkenhead United AFC have won two, drawn one and lost none. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 19 Oct 2024, it finished Birkenhead United AFC 4-2 Napier City Rovers AFC.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 62%.

The read. No firm call: Napier City Rovers AFC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Napier City Rovers AFC the likelier winners; Napier City Rovers AFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Napier City Rovers AFC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 97%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Birkenhead United AFC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Napier City Rovers AFC); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Birkenhead United AFC 1-2 Napier City Rovers AFC (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Napier City Rovers AFC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIR 6 of 6 (100%) · NAP 5 of 5 (100%)98.5%

Napier City Rovers AFC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Birkenhead United AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95%

Napier City Rovers AFC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIR 6 of 6 (100%) · NAP 5 of 5 (100%)97.1%

Napier City Rovers AFC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Birkenhead United AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90%

Double Chance: Birkenhead United AFC or Napier City Rovers AFCIN CODES

1.19

BIR 5 of 5 (100%) · NAP 6 of 6 (100%)86%

Birkenhead United AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Napier City Rovers AFC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95%

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIR 5 of 5 (100%) · NAP 6 of 6 (100%)100%

Birkenhead United AFC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Napier City Rovers AFC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIR 5 of 5 (100%) · NAP 6 of 6 (100%)98.5%

Birkenhead United AFC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Napier City Rovers AFC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95%

BIRKENHEAD UNITED AFC GOALS

Birkenhead United AFC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIR 4 of 5 (80%) · NAP 5 of 6 (83%)83.5%

Birkenhead United AFC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Napier City Rovers AFC conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

NAPIER CITY ROVERS AFC GOALS

Napier City Rovers AFC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIR 6 of 6 (100%) · NAP 4 of 5 (80%)91.2%

Napier City Rovers AFC scored in 6 of 6 away · Birkenhead United AFC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIR 5 of 5 (100%) · NAP 6 of 6 (100%)98.3%

Birkenhead United AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Napier City Rovers AFC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Birkenhead United AFC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Napier City Rovers AFC); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Birkenhead United AFC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Napier City Rovers AFC)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 6.7%

Birkenhead United AFC goals →

Napier City Rovers AFC goals ↓

0-01%

1-01%

2-02%

3-01%

4-00.5%

5-00.2%

0-12%

1-15%

2-15%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.8%

0-33%

1-36%

2-36%

3-34%

4-32%

5-30.7%

0-42%

1-44%

2-44%

3-43%

4-41%

5-40.5%

0-51%

1-52%

2-52%

3-51%

4-50.7%

5-50.3%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BIRKENHEAD UNITED AFCLLLWLLWWLW1.20 PPG

NAPIER CITY ROVERS AFCWWWWLLWDLW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BIRKENHEAD UNITED AFC HOMExNAPIER CITY ROVERS AFC AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME2.702.40CONCEDED A GAME1.8040%CLEAN SHEETS20%

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

BIRKENHEAD UNITED AFC 2 · 67%DRAW 1NAPIER CITY ROVERS AFC 0 · 0%

3 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-11-13Birkenhead United AFC 1 – 1 Napier City Rovers AFC

2024-07-28Birkenhead United AFC 2 – 1 Napier City Rovers AFC

2024-10-19Birkenhead United AFC 4 – 2 Napier City Rovers AFC

TRENDS

Birkenhead United AFC have scored in 80% of their games.

Napier City Rovers AFC have scored in 100% of their games.

Birkenhead United AFC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Napier City Rovers AFC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague table