SMSSM

14:30Sun 18 Oct

ASD

SS Milazzo vs Asd Digiesse Praiatortora

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group I. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. SS Milazzo have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. Asd Digiesse Praiatortora have won four, drawn three and lost two of their last nine, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D.

The numbers. SS Milazzo score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SS Milazzo average 9.0 shots (2.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Asd Digiesse Praiatortora score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Asd Digiesse Praiatortora average 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

The case against. SS Milazzo's record still gives them 24% to win.

The read. Asd Digiesse Praiatortora to win. A tight game. Asd Digiesse Praiatortora are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Asd Digiesse Praiatortora. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Asd Digiesse Praiatortora or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Asd Digiesse Praiatortora or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Asd Digiesse Praiatortora or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SS Milazzo 0-1 Asd Digiesse Praiatortora (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 9 of 9 (100%) · ASD 6 of 7 (86%)95.5%

SS Milazzo: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Digiesse Praiatortora: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Asd Digiesse Praiatortora's level · Asd Digiesse Praiatortora: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 9 of 9 (100%) · ASD 5 of 7 (71%)88.6%

SS Milazzo: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Digiesse Praiatortora: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Asd Digiesse Praiatortora's level · Asd Digiesse Praiatortora: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level

ASD DIGIESSE PRAIATORTORA GOALS

Asd Digiesse Praiatortora Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 5 of 7 (71%) · ASD 7 of 9 (78%)70.9%

Asd Digiesse Praiatortora scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SS Milazzo conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Asd Digiesse Praiatortora: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Asd Digiesse Praiatortora's level

Left off the list: Asd Digiesse Praiatortora or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (73%) and the records (94%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Asd Digiesse Praiatortora or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Asd Digiesse Praiatortora or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9%

SS Milazzo goals →

Asd Digiesse… goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41.0%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SS MILAZZOLLLLWWLLWD1.00 PPG

ASD DIGIESSE PRAIATORTORAWLWDDDWLW1.67 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SS MILAZZO HOMExASD DIGIESSE PRAIATORTORA AWAY

0.70SCORED A GAME1.561.30CONCEDED A GAME1.3320%CLEAN SHEETS44%3.67CORNERS A GAME5.503.33CARDS A GAME2.50

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

71%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SS MILAZZO OR DRAW

85%

OKAY · 80/85

ASD DIGIESSE PRAIATORTORA OR DRAW

39%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

SS Milazzo have scored in 50% of their games.

Asd Digiesse Praiatortora have scored in 67% of their games.

SS Milazzo kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Asd Digiesse Praiatortora kept a clean sheet in 44% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards