Match details. Serie D, Group A. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. SCD Ligorna 1922 have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. AC Bra have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L.
The numbers. SCD Ligorna 1922 score 2.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. SCD Ligorna 1922 average 13.3 shots (4.6 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. AC Bra score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. AC Bra average 11.8 shots (3.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The read. SCD Ligorna 1922 to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make SCD Ligorna 1922 the likelier winners; SCD Ligorna 1922 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SCD Ligorna 1922. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SCD Ligorna 1922 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SCD Ligorna 1922 Over 1.5 Goals (AC Bra's own games don't back it (1 of 7)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SCD Ligorna 1922 1-0 AC Bra (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).