Match details. Serie D, Group I. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. US Vibonese Calcio have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Gela have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L.
The numbers. US Vibonese Calcio score 1.7 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. US Vibonese Calcio average 11.2 shots (5.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Gela score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Gela average 1.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. US Vibonese Calcio to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make US Vibonese Calcio the likelier winners; US Vibonese Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Vibonese Calcio. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Vibonese Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Vibonese Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: US Vibonese Calcio 1-0 Gela (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
US Vibonese Calcio or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 5 of 5 (100%) · GEL 8 of 9 (89%)92.6%
US Vibonese Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Gela: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at Gela's level · Gela: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level
US Vibonese Calcio or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 5 of 5 (100%) · GEL 7 of 9 (78%)88.9%
US Vibonese Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Gela: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at Gela's level · Gela: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level
US Vibonese Calcio (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 6 of 7 (86%) · GEL 4 of 5 (80%)68.3%
US Vibonese Calcio won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Gela lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 83% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at Gela's level · Gela: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level · won 8, refunded 3, lost 0
US Vibonese Calcio to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 74%
1.36
USV 4 of 5 (80%) · GEL 4 of 9 (44%)50.3%
US Vibonese Calcio won 4 of 5 at home · Gela lost 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at Gela's level · Gela: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 5 of 5 (100%) · GEL 9 of 9 (100%)95.2%
US Vibonese Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Gela: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at Gela's level · Gela: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 5 of 5 (100%) · GEL 9 of 9 (100%)87.9%
US Vibonese Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Gela: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at Gela's level · Gela: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 5 of 5 (100%) · GEL 9 of 9 (100%)73.8%
US Vibonese Calcio: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Gela: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at Gela's level · Gela: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level
US VIBONESE CALCIO GOALS
US Vibonese Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USV 5 of 5 (100%) · GEL 7 of 9 (78%)79.5%
US Vibonese Calcio scored in 5 of 5 at home · Gela conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at Gela's level · Gela: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level
Left off the list: US Vibonese Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); US Vibonese Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.2%
US Vibonese Calcio goals →
Gela goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
US VIBONESE CALCIOWWDWDLWWWD2.10 PPG
GELADLDLWLDLDD0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US VIBONESE CALCIO HOMExGELA AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME0.700.80CONCEDED A GAME1.0060%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.00CORNERS A GAME1.001.80CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
US VIBONESE CALCIO OR DRAW
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
GELA OR DRAW
24%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
US Vibonese Calcio have scored in 100% of their games.
Gela have scored in 60% of their games.
US Vibonese Calcio kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Gela kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards