TCTRA

14:00Sun 18 Oct

ASD

Trapani Calcio vs ASD Castrumfavara

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group I. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. Trapani Calcio have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. ASD Castrumfavara have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D.

The numbers. Trapani Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Trapani Calcio average 2.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. ASD Castrumfavara score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 22% against the records' 52%.

The read. No firm call: ASD Castrumfavara are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. ASD Castrumfavara are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ASD Castrumfavara. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Trapani Calcio Over 0.5 Goals (Trapani Calcio's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Trapani Calcio 1-1 ASD Castrumfavara (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TRA 7 of 7 (100%) · ASD 9 of 9 (100%)95.8%

Trapani Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Castrumfavara: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Trapani Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Trapani Calcio's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TRA 7 of 7 (100%) · ASD 8 of 9 (89%)89.2%

Trapani Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Castrumfavara: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Trapani Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Trapani Calcio's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TRA 1 of 7 (14%) · ASD 5 of 9 (56%)50.7%

Trapani Calcio: both scored in 1 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Castrumfavara: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 35% · Trapani Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Trapani Calcio's level

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA GOALS

ASD Castrumfavara Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TRA 6 of 9 (67%) · ASD 5 of 7 (71%)66%

ASD Castrumfavara scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Trapani Calcio conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Trapani Calcio's level · Trapani Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

Left off the list: Trapani Calcio Over 0.5 Goals (Trapani Calcio's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Trapani Calcio goals →

ASD Castrumfavara goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

TRAPANI CALCIODWLLLLWWLL1.00 PPG

ASD CASTRUMFAVARAWDLWLDLLLW1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TRAPANI CALCIO HOMExASD CASTRUMFAVARA AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.301.60CONCEDED A GAME1.6020%CLEAN SHEETS10%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME1.20-0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.25LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

37%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

29%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

TRAPANI CALCIO OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA OR DRAW

27%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRAPANI CALCIOxASD CASTRUMFAVARA

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.201.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.420%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Trapani Calcio have scored in 60% of their games.

ASD Castrumfavara have scored in 60% of their games.

Trapani Calcio kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

ASD Castrumfavara kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards